UK Ecommerce Forecast 2025

Digital Growth Slows Amid Weak Confidence and Plateauing Penetration

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About This Report
Ecommerce growth is slowing as the market matures, but gains will come from mobile commerce, Gen Z buyers, and high-performing categories.
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UK retail sales will grow modestly in 2025 amid persistent economic uncertainty and cautious consumer sentiment. Ecommerce growth is slowing as the market matures, and online penetration has plateaued. But gains will come from mobile commerce (mcommerce), Gen Z buyers, and high-performing categories like tech and beauty, while multichannel retailers are narrowing the gap with Amazon.

Key Question: What’s the outlook for UK retail and ecommerce sales in 2025 and beyond?

Key Stat: UK ecommerce sales growth will slow to 3.6% in 2025 before accelerating slightly in 2026.

authors

Carina Perkins

Contributors

Franco Bernasconi
Analyst
Paul Briggs
Principal Analyst
Suzy Davidkhanian
VP, Content
Diego Dell’Orco
Nikolai Dineros
Donte Gibson
Senior Charts Editor
Wendy Malloy
Director, Reports Editor
Matt Torpey
Senior Chart Editor
Emman Velasco
Chart Editor
Ali Young
Senior Copy Editor and Manager of Content Operations
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